Long term forecast - New year time
EURO and GBP are expected to gain levels for the New year time
USD/CHF and USD/YEN are are also expected to gain levels
USD/CAD and AUD are expected to make more USD gaining moves
After the extended stop hunt in this week beginning the intentional moves of the operators are seen.They wanted to off load their long positions and when traders refuse to buy during slide and instead shorted more following technical analyses,then the big players showed the way to such traders by making massive extended stop hunt.Later when they started the slide ,traders would have repented that their good level shorts in other majors were stoppedout before the good drop,missed the profit booking opportunities.When such impulsive traders again when turn long following USD weakening sentiment found that they are beaten up again on the down side.When such traders, to earn back their lost money will turn short as other majors have undergone big correction.But they will be trapped again by extended stop hunt before the next fall.So sell during quick rise and buy during quick drop could be the good trading strategy,if followed with emotional control.
Operators have finished the trend reversal moves as follows – regional currencies,yen crosses,commodity pairs and now majors.Finally the trend reversal wild moves will happen in European crosses and then the quick trending move of USD gaining will come as a big market surprise from next week or from early next month.Do only sell and buy trades in other majors if you donot want to get trapped with unfavorable positions.If you are trapped you can contact us for the ‘swift solution’ – we will provide you forecast based trading solution to come out with net profit from any unfavorable market position.
Earn well from the market with the right market perspective.
Regards
Dr.Sivaraman
From the beginning of the week, the operators spread the rumor that the FED rate cut will make the USD to weaken further in a big way. They also made very extended stop hunt during the start of the week as if the world will come to a grinding halt. But by the time traders understood that it was only a misguidance they corrected other majors all the way down and yesterday everyone was waiting for the FED announcement and avoided taking positions. But the operators simply dropped other majors by saying that the decision is in line with the market expectations. They created so much tension to the traders from the previous day and later simply discounted the act of the FED. So the traders only lost their positions and trades. Now you can understand that the big players are only creating hype about the data release in order to create the market sentiments and act against the traders all the time.
Operators made big extended stop hunt for the week beginning.Many thought that it is further USD weakening moves.But they made USD weakening moves with regard to EURO,CHF and YEN and USD strengthening move in other 3 pairs namely GBP,CAD and AUD.The commodities like oil and Gold also made the big extended stop hunts just to add fuel to fire of the fear to traders which could induce them to cut their pending positions in distress.Finally operators made big money by making big moves,but they also found it difficult to off load their holding positions to reduce their margin payments in a hurry,hence the big slide during the day.So during trend reversal operators induce such distress conditions and it does not mean that any country economy is in such a bad shape.Because still the big players hold their margin money only in USD and deposit with banks and they cannot make USD very weak and lose all their stop hunt earning.So the ‘stop hunters’ are doing their job of money making every day at varied levels,but the traders continue to find the market a mystery.
Regards
Dr.Sivaraman
Extreme moves have been shown in the market during week beginning to hit all level stops and also hit the traders who have taken relative positions as USD strengthening or USD weakening moves.When they rised EURO/USD 250 pips and dropped GBP/USD 200 pips from Friday close,what traders can perceive.Also dropping USD/YEN 450 pips and also GBP/USD 200 pips all the YEN crosses suffered big.Operators made the moves in such a way that 50% of the currencies are making USD weakening moves and the remaining 50% of the currencies making USD strengthening moves.The extreme moves will get re-adjusted with in the day.Watch and understand the limitations of the operators.
The Forex market had yet another volatile week as spill over of the trend reversal moves continue with higher level consolidation and upward stop hunt moves. EURO/USD closed on 07 Mar,the previous Friday at 1.5355 and this week end closed around the 1.5671 area – a gain of around 325 pips.This extended stop hunt would have induced all short sellers to cover their shorts for the week end. Now it is time for the operators to act against the market sentiments in order to trap the bullish traders who intend to buy during the dip. Operators are known to make extended moves to change market sentiments and act against the traders the following week. However, most traders often realise their emotional trading only after commiting in the market. Multi-year lows in usd/yen and usd/chf would have really created the feeling amongst traders that shorting other majors will burn their fingers. However, in the coming week, they will witness the other way move as other majors’ slide to their surprise.
Operators normally do aggressive up and down moves in the market for week-end close. This is because traders normally have the fear that that some unexpected events could happen in some part of the world and that could make the market to have gap up/down opening. So they unwind their positions before the week end. Operators understand this and they influence the market to have big volatile moves. They calmly act against such emotional traders and earn their money whether they are long or short in any currency pair.
If the traders analyse the big market cycles they can understand that the operators make sequential trend reversals in various currency markets. To start with the regional currencies, then YEN crosses,later the commodity pairs and other majors and finally european crosses. Now we are facing the upward trend reversal moves in other majors. Hence the commodity pairs have not participated in the USD weakening moves.From the coming week, other majors weakening moves are expected to surprise the traders.Traders must be aware that such exteme levels are shown in the market only during times of panic - hampering the ability to make desicions and holding on to a position. Thus, one can see volatile moves such as the one made last Friday that defy any logic - say a rising EURO and falling GBP.
Understand the operators intentions then you will be able to learn before they act and trade calmly along with them and earn from the market.
All the best in your market understanding.
Regards
Dr.S.Sivaraman
Time for big trend reversal in majors now.After the wide range swings they made for Monday and Tuesday to hit the stops either way and when traders shorted heavily during the drop,the big players wanted to trap them in a big way and did the extended stop hunt before the big trend reversal of continuous fall in other majors….When they handle the extreme levels traders only become stunned and don’t take more sell positions as their holding sell positions taken at the highest levels will be making losses and then cut the positions in distress due to margin pressure.Then later see the market moves in their expected way.If you are stoppedout or hedged,review the market and take the sell positions near high and when the position makes 30 pips profit keep stop at entry and allow the position to maximize the profit when the going is good.Avoid over trading,that will help you not become afraid of the market
Regards
Dr.S.Sivaraman